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Events · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · Jim Miller vs Clay Guida
From the tape · 3 Aug 2019

Jim Miller vs Clay Guida

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · Newark, New Jersey, USA
Result

Jim Miller beat Clay Guida

Method
Submission
Round
1 of 3
Clock
0:58
LightweightCo-MainReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner JimMiller“A-10”Sussex County MMA · Sparta, New Jersey
VSOn the tape
CG
Blue corner ClayGuida“The Carpenter”Team Alpha Male · Round Lake, Illinois
Lightweight3 rounds3 Aug 2019
The story going in
  • Has finished 11 of 19 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 6 of 15 UFC wins.
  • 32 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Guida.
  • Averages 1.6 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Miller.
39-19
Record
38-22
−2 yr35
Age
37
+1″5' 8"
Height
5' 7"
+1″71″
Reach
70″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+532
UFC bouts
27
+18%11/1958% of wins
Finishes
6/1540% of wins
Sussex County MMA
Gym
Team Alpha Male
Sparta, New Jersey
From
Round Lake, Illinois
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 10:58 of action1 sub attemptEnded 0:58
Jim Miller2 sig landed
HEAD50%1 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS50%1 of 1
Clay Guida2 sig landed
HEAD50%1 of 4BODY0%0 landedLEGS50%1 of 1
2 of 8
Sig.
strikes
2 of 5
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:11
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Jim Miller

Round
1
Clock
0:58
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jim Miller

1.49takedowns / 15 min
1.49 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.10 / 15m
3.31 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
8.86 / 15m
45%
ACCURACY
35%
1.70 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Clay Guida

3.10takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Jim Miller↓ −3.3pp
open 61.4%close 58.1%
Clay Guida↑ +3.3pp
open 38.6%close 41.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Jim Miller opened at 61.4% and closed at 58.1% (−3.3pp), with Clay Guida moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Jim Miller-185-15061.4%58.1%−3.3pp
Clay Guida14513138.6%41.9%+3.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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