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Events · UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · Scott Holtzman vs Nik Lentz
From the tape · 17 Feb 2019

Scott Holtzman vs Nik Lentz

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · Phoenix, Arizona, USA
Result

Nik Lentz beat Scott Holtzman

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
LightweightMain cardReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

SH
Red corner ScottHoltzman“Hot Sauce”Knoxville, Tennessee
VSOn the tape
NL
Blue corner NikLentz“The Carny”Kill Cliff FC · St. Paul, Minnesota
Lightweight3 rounds17 Feb 2019
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 5 of 13 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 5 UFC wins.
  • 21 UFC bouts deep — 14 more than Holtzman.
14-6
Record
30-12-2
35
Age
−1 yr34
+1″5' 9"
Height
5' 8"
+1″69″
Reach
68″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
7
UFC bouts
+1421
+2%2/540% of wins
Finishes
5/1338% of wins
Knoxville, Tennessee
From
St. Paul, Minnesota
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Scott Holtzman5 sig landed
HEAD60%3 of 14BODY20%1 of 5LEGS20%1 of 1
Nik Lentz32 sig landed
HEAD34%11 of 21BODY22%7 of 8LEGS44%14 of 14
5 of 20
Sig.
strikes
32 of 43
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 8
0:03
Control
2:44
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 15Ground 0
Judges · this round · Holtzman firstMichael Bell9–10Chris Flores9–10Dennis O'Connell9–10
Round 25:00 of action1 sub attempt
Scott Holtzman17 sig landed
HEAD65%11 of 40BODY29%5 of 7LEGS6%1 of 1
Nik Lentz23 sig landed
HEAD61%14 of 35BODY30%7 of 8LEGS9%2 of 2
17 of 48
Sig.
strikes
23 of 45
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 5
0:15
Control
1:45
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 16Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Holtzman firstMichael Bell9–10Chris Flores9–10Dennis O'Connell9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Scott Holtzman32 sig landed
HEAD78%25 of 45BODY22%7 of 9LEGS0%0 landed
Nik Lentz16 sig landed
HEAD88%14 of 32BODY12%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
32 of 54
Sig.
strikes
16 of 34
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 6
0:00
Control
2:19
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 19Clinch 6Ground 7
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Holtzman firstMichael Bell10–9Chris Flores10–9Dennis O'Connell10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jason Herzog
Scott HoltzmanNik Lentz
Official totals — Scott Holtzman first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell28–29
Chris Flores1.9 avg spread · 44% wide28–29
Dennis O'Connell28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 18 scored, Scott Holtzman first · unofficial

Keith Shillan FanSided.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29
Jordan Colbert Sherdog.com28–29
Ant Walker Sherdog.com28–29
Adam Martin Sherdog.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Steven Kelliher Tapology.com28–29
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com28–29
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com28–29
Nolan King FloCombat28–29
Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport28–29
MM ABrasil.com.br28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
Mike Straus MMAJA28–29
Drake Riggs BJPenn.com29–28
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Lentz · 60%29-28 Holtzman · 35%30-28 Lentz · 3%

37 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Scott Holtzman

1.88takedowns / 15 min
1.88 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.30 / 15m
3.36 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
10.31 / 15m
56%
ACCURACY
32%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.20 / 15m

Nik Lentz

3.30takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Scott Holtzman→ no move
open 59.9%close 60.1%
Nik Lentz→ no move
open 40.1%close 39.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

The line barely moved. Scott Holtzman opened at 59.9% and closed at 60.1% once the vig is taken out — a 0.2pp shift across the whole build-up. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Scott Holtzman-175-16559.9%60.1%+0.2pp
Nik Lentz13514240.1%39.9%−0.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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