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Events · UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Valentina Shevchenko vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk
From the tape · 8 Dec 2018

Valentina Shevchenko vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Result

Valentina Shevchenko beat Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
5 of 5
Clock
5:00
Women's Flyweight TitleTitle fightCo-MainReferee · Todd Ronald Anderson

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ValentinaShevchenko“Bullet”Tiger Muay Thai · Bishkek
VSOn the tape
JJ
Blue corner JoannaJedrzejczykAmerican Top Team · Olsztyn
Women's Flyweight Title5 rounds8 Dec 2018
The story going in
  • Has finished 2 of 4 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Averages 2.4 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Jedrzejczyk.
  • 11 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Shevchenko.
26-4-1
Record
16-5
−1 yr30
Age
31
5' 5"
Height
+1″5' 6"
+1″66″
Reach
65″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6
UFC bouts
+511
+28%2/450% of wins
Finishes
2/922% of wins
Tiger Muay Thai
Gym
American Top Team
Bishkek
From
Olsztyn
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Valentina Shevchenko11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 12BODY9%1 of 3LEGS36%4 of 6
Joanna Jedrzejczyk15 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 14BODY73%11 of 16LEGS27%4 of 10
11 of 21
Sig.
strikes
15 of 40
1 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:21
Control
0:07
Distance 7Clinch 3Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 9Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 25:00 of action
Valentina Shevchenko21 sig landed
HEAD71%15 of 37BODY5%1 of 1LEGS24%5 of 5
Joanna Jedrzejczyk10 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 28BODY30%3 of 13LEGS70%7 of 13
21 of 43
Sig.
strikes
10 of 54
3 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:43
Control
0:00
Distance 12Clinch 2Ground 7
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 35:00 of action
Valentina Shevchenko19 sig landed
HEAD47%9 of 24BODY37%7 of 10LEGS16%3 of 4
Joanna Jedrzejczyk16 sig landed
HEAD19%3 of 32BODY56%9 of 17LEGS25%4 of 7
19 of 38
Sig.
strikes
16 of 56
0 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:22
Control
0:00
Distance 16Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 45:00 of action
Valentina Shevchenko18 sig landed
HEAD50%9 of 20BODY11%2 of 3LEGS39%7 of 10
Joanna Jedrzejczyk17 sig landed
HEAD12%2 of 21BODY65%11 of 15LEGS24%4 of 5
18 of 33
Sig.
strikes
17 of 41
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:17
Control
0:10
Distance 15Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 4Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 55:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Valentina Shevchenko20 sig landed
HEAD55%11 of 42BODY25%5 of 8LEGS20%4 of 6
Joanna Jedrzejczyk20 sig landed
HEAD35%7 of 38BODY50%10 of 17LEGS15%3 of 4
20 of 56
Sig.
strikes
20 of 59
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:32
Control
0:00
Distance 15Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 6Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

The judges’ totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Todd Ronald Anderson
Official totals — Valentina Shevchenko first
JudgeTotal
Benoit Roussel49–46
Eric Colon2.0 avg spread · 43% wide49–46
Jason Rodgers2.1 avg spread · 50% wide49–46

There is no per-round card for this bout in our decisions source, so the judges’ totals are all we can show. This one is inside the window our source covers — it is a gap in the record, not a scrape we are waiting on, and nothing here is estimated to fill it.

Media cards — 24 scored, Valentina Shevchenko first · unofficial

Thiago Kuhl MMABrasil.com.br50–45
Alexander K. Lee MMAFighting.com50–45
Drake Riggs BJPenn.com50–45
Steven Kelliher Tapology.com50–45
Greg Rosenstein ESPN.com50–45
Sean Ross Sapp Fightful.com50–45
Matthew Wells FanSided.com50–45
Nolan King FloCombat50–45
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com50–45
Keith Shillan TheMMATakeover.com50–45
John Pollock POST Wrestling50–45
Phil Murphy ESPN50–45
Youngs FanSided.com50–45
Steve Duncan mma.uno50–45
Michael DeSantis MMASucka.com50–45
Danny Segura MMAFighting.com50–45
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com50–45
Mike Straus MMAJA49–46
Chris Connor The Fight City49–46
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com49–46
Kendrick Johnson The Sports Daily49–46
Sherdog.com49–46
MM AMania.com49–46
MM AJunkie.com49–46

Fan vote · unofficial

50-45 Shevchenko · 67%49-46 Shevchenko · 21%48-47 Shevchenko · 3%50-46 Shevchenko · 2%49-47 Shevchenko · 2%

163 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Valentina Shevchenko

2.65takedowns / 15 min
2.65 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.27 / 15m
4.34 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.44 / 15m
61%
ACCURACY
62%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

0.27takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Valentina Shevchenko↑ +0.9pp
open 72.4%close 73.3%
Joanna Jedrzejczyk↓ −0.9pp
open 27.6%close 26.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Valentina Shevchenko opened at 72.4% and closed at 73.3% (+0.9pp), with Joanna Jedrzejczyk moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Valentina Shevchenko-300-31672.4%73.3%+0.9pp
Joanna Jedrzejczyk25026227.6%26.7%−0.9pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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