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Events · UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · Gray Maynard vs Nik Lentz
From the tape · 6 Oct 2018

Gray Maynard vs Nik Lentz

UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Nik Lentz beat Gray Maynard

Method
KO/TKO
Round
2 of 3
Clock
1:19
LightweightMain cardReferee · Dan Miragliotta

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

GM
Red corner GrayMaynardAmerican Kickboxing Academy · Santa Cruz, California
VSOn the tape
NL
Blue corner NikLentz“The Carny”Kill Cliff FC · St. Paul, Minnesota
Lightweight3 rounds6 Oct 2018
The story going in
  • Carries 38 points more takedown defence than Lentz.
  • Has finished 4 of 12 UFC wins.
  • Is 15 points more accurate striking than Maynard.
13-7-1
Record
30-12-2
39
Age
−5 yr34
+1″5' 9"
Height
5' 8"
+2″70″
Reach
68″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
19
UFC bouts
+120
1/119% of wins
Finishes
+24%4/1233% of wins
American Kickboxing Academy
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Santa Cruz, California
From
St. Paul, Minnesota
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Gray Maynard5 sig landed
HEAD80%4 of 10BODY20%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Nik Lentz64 sig landed
HEAD88%56 of 72BODY8%5 of 5LEGS5%3 of 3
5 of 11
Sig.
strikes
64 of 80
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 5
0:08
Control
3:32
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 3Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 15Clinch 11Ground 38
Round 21:19 of action⚡ 1 KD LentzEnded 1:19
Gray Maynard8 sig landed
HEAD88%7 of 15BODY12%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Nik Lentz11 sig landed
HEAD100%11 of 21BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
8 of 16
Sig.
strikes
11 of 21
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:02
0
Knock-
downs
1
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 1Ground 2

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Nik Lentz

Round
2
Clock
1:19
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Dan Miragliotta.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Gray Maynard

2.91takedowns / 15 min
2.91 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.30 / 15m
6.19 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
10.31 / 15m
47%
ACCURACY
32%
0.70 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.20 / 15m

Nik Lentz

3.30takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Gray Maynard↓ −3.3pp
open 35.6%close 32.3%
Nik Lentz↑ +3.3pp
open 64.4%close 67.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Gray Maynard opened at 35.6% and closed at 32.3% (−3.3pp), with Nik Lentz moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Gray Maynard16519735.6%32.3%−3.3pp
Nik Lentz-215-24064.4%67.7%+3.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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