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Events · UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · Sage Northcutt vs Mickey Gall
From the tape · 17 Dec 2016

Sage Northcutt vs Mickey Gall

UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · Sacramento, California, USA
Result

Mickey Gall beat Sage Northcutt

Method
Submission
Round
2 of 3
Clock
1:40
WelterweightCo-MainReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

SN
Red corner SageNorthcutt“Super”Team Alpha Male · Katy, Texas
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MickeyGallKill Cliff FC · Green Brook, New Jersey
Welterweight3 rounds17 Dec 2016
The story going in
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Carries 9 points more striking defence than Gall.
11-2
Record
7-7
−4 yr20
Age
24
6' 0"
Height
+2″6' 2"
71″
Reach
+3″74″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
+24
UFC bouts
2
2/367% of wins
Finishes
2/2100% of wins
Team Alpha Male
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Katy, Texas
From
Green Brook, New Jersey
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action2 sub attempts
Sage Northcutt7 sig landed
HEAD29%2 of 7BODY29%2 of 2LEGS43%3 of 3
Mickey Gall4 sig landed
HEAD75%3 of 8BODY0%0 of 1LEGS25%1 of 1
7 of 12
Sig.
strikes
4 of 10
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 2
0:59
Control
2:47
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
2
Distance 3Clinch 1Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 3
Round 21:40 of action⚡ 1 KD Northcutt⚡ 1 KD Gall1 sub attemptEnded 1:40
Sage Northcutt6 sig landed
HEAD67%4 of 9BODY33%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Mickey Gall5 sig landed
HEAD100%5 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 of 1
6 of 11
Sig.
strikes
5 of 8
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:39
1
Knock-
downs
1
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 4Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 1Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Mickey Gall

Round
2
Clock
1:40
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Sage Northcutt

1.81takedowns / 15 min
1.81 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.15 / 15m
5.32 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.59 / 15m
34%
ACCURACY
32%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.60 / 15m

Mickey Gall

1.15takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Sage Northcutt↓ −5.8pp
open 46.2%close 40.4%
Mickey Gall↑ +5.8pp
open 53.8%close 59.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Sage Northcutt opened at 46.2% and closed at 40.4% (−5.8pp), with Mickey Gall moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Sage Northcutt10014046.2%40.4%−5.8pp
Mickey Gall-140-16053.8%59.6%+5.8pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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