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Events · UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · Josh Emmett vs Scott Holtzman
From the tape · 17 Dec 2016

Josh Emmett vs Scott Holtzman

UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · Sacramento, California, USA
Result

Josh Emmett beat Scott Holtzman

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
LightweightMain cardReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner JoshEmmett“CC0”Team Alpha Male · Sacramento, California
VSOn the tape
SH
Blue corner ScottHoltzman“Hot Sauce”Knoxville, Tennessee
Lightweight3 rounds17 Dec 2016
19-7
Record
14-6
−2 yr31
Age
33
5' 6"
Height
+3″5' 9"
+1″70″
Reach
69″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
+23
0/10% of wins
Finishes
1/250% of wins
Sacramento, California
From
Knoxville, Tennessee
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Josh Emmett11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 26BODY45%5 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
Scott Holtzman23 sig landed
HEAD52%12 of 33BODY48%11 of 15LEGS0%0 landed
11 of 31
Sig.
strikes
23 of 48
1 of 4
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:57
Control
1:27
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 1Clinch 7Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 8Ground 3
Judges · this round · Emmett firstMike Guingona9–10Brandon Saucedo9–10Wade Vierra9–10
Round 25:00 of action1 sub attempt
Josh Emmett29 sig landed
HEAD62%18 of 46BODY21%6 of 7LEGS17%5 of 5
Scott Holtzman16 sig landed
HEAD75%12 of 47BODY19%3 of 10LEGS6%1 of 1
29 of 58
Sig.
strikes
16 of 58
3 of 3
Take-
downs
1 of 2
1:21
Control
1:35
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 22Clinch 7Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 6Ground 0
Judges · this round · Emmett firstMike Guingona10–9Brandon Saucedo10–9Wade Vierra10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Josh Emmett47 sig landed
HEAD55%26 of 47BODY32%15 of 18LEGS13%6 of 6
Scott Holtzman26 sig landed
HEAD92%24 of 68BODY8%2 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
47 of 71
Sig.
strikes
26 of 73
4 of 5
Take-
downs
1 of 1
1:41
Control
0:15
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 24Clinch 21Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 10Ground 0
Judges · this round · Emmett firstMike Guingona10–9Brandon Saucedo10–9Wade Vierra10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Josh EmmettScott Holtzman
Official totals — Josh Emmett first
JudgeTotal
Mike Guingona29–28
Brandon Saucedo29–28
Wade Vierra1.8 avg spread · 33% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 14 scored, Josh Emmett first · unofficial

Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Combat Press.com29–28
Steven Kelliher Tapology.com29–28
Nick Baldwin BloodyElbow.com29–28
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Matthew Wells mmalatestnews.com29–28
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com29–28
Diego Peixoto MMABrasil.com.br29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–28
Chris Nelson Sherdog.com29–28
Mike Sloan Sherdog.com29–28
MM AMania.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Emmett · 87%30-27 Emmett · 9%29-28 Holtzman · 4%

23 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Josh Emmett

1.07takedowns / 15 min
1.07 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.88 / 15m
2.97 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.36 / 15m
36%
ACCURACY
56%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Scott Holtzman

1.88takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Josh Emmett↓ −1.9pp
open 65.3%close 63.4%
Scott Holtzman↑ +1.9pp
open 34.7%close 36.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Josh Emmett opened at 65.3% and closed at 63.4% (−1.9pp), with Scott Holtzman moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Josh Emmett-230-19065.3%63.4%−1.9pp
Scott Holtzman17016434.7%36.6%+1.9pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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