This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
Events · UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Drew Dober
From the tape · 10 Dec 2016

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Drew Dober

UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Result

Olivier Aubin-Mercier beat Drew Dober

Method
Submission
Round
2 of 3
Clock
2:57
LightweightMain cardReferee · Dan Miragliotta

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

OA
Red corner OlivierAubin-Mercier“The Canadian Gangster”Boucherville, Quebec
VSOn the tape
Blue corner DrewDoberElevation Fight Team · Omaha, Nebraska
Lightweight3 rounds10 Dec 2016
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 4 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Averages 1.8 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Dober.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
11-5
Record
29-15
−1 yr27
Age
28
+1″5' 9"
Height
5' 8"
70″
Reach
70″
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6
UFC bouts
+17
+8%3/475% of wins
Finishes
2/367% of wins
Boucherville, Quebec
From
Omaha, Nebraska
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Olivier Aubin-Mercier25 sig landed
HEAD80%20 of 43BODY4%1 of 3LEGS16%4 of 4
Drew Dober14 sig landed
HEAD57%8 of 41BODY29%4 of 12LEGS14%2 of 4
25 of 50
Sig.
strikes
14 of 57
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 22:57 of action⚡ 1 KD Dober1 sub attemptEnded 2:57
Olivier Aubin-Mercier2 sig landed
HEAD50%1 of 1BODY50%1 of 1LEGS0%0 of 1
Drew Dober10 sig landed
HEAD10%1 of 5BODY90%9 of 9LEGS0%0 landed
2 of 3
Sig.
strikes
10 of 14
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:33
Control
1:13
0
Knock-
downs
1
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Round
2
Clock
2:57
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Dan Miragliotta.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier

2.36takedowns / 15 min
2.36 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.61 / 15m
7.15 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.81 / 15m
33%
ACCURACY
16%
0.50 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Drew Dober

0.61takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier→ no move
open 62.8%close 62.9%
Drew Dober→ no move
open 37.2%close 37.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

The line barely moved. Olivier Aubin-Mercier opened at 62.8% and closed at 62.9% once the vig is taken out — a 0.2pp shift across the whole build-up. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Olivier Aubin-Mercier-195-18662.8%62.9%+0.2pp
Drew Dober15516137.2%37.1%−0.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Every fighter on the record