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Events · UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · Warlley Alves vs Bryan Barberena
From the tape · 14 May 2016

Warlley Alves vs Bryan Barberena

UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · Curitiba, Parana, Brazil
Result

Bryan Barberena beat Warlley Alves

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Leon Roberts

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner WarlleyAlvesRizzo RVT · Governador Valadares, Minas Gerais
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BryanBarberena“Bam Bam”Gym-O · Minneapolis, Minnesota
Welterweight3 rounds14 May 2016
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Lands 2.3 more significant strikes a minute than Alves.
  • Has finished 3 of 4 UFC wins.
15-8
Record
18-12
−2 yr25
Age
27
5' 11"
Height
+1″6' 0"
72″
Reach
72″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+14
UFC bouts
3
3/475% of wins
Finishes
2/2100% of wins
Rizzo RVT
Gym
Gym-O
Governador Valadares, Minas Gerais
From
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Warlley Alves18 sig landed
HEAD44%8 of 17BODY50%9 of 9LEGS6%1 of 1
Bryan Barberena21 sig landed
HEAD67%14 of 31BODY10%2 of 5LEGS24%5 of 5
18 of 27
Sig.
strikes
21 of 41
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:26
Control
0:52
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 13Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 15Clinch 6Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 25:00 of action
Warlley Alves27 sig landed
HEAD56%15 of 32BODY41%11 of 11LEGS4%1 of 2
Bryan Barberena37 sig landed
HEAD57%21 of 50BODY16%6 of 8LEGS27%10 of 11
27 of 45
Sig.
strikes
37 of 69
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:10
Control
1:40
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 26Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 33Clinch 4Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Warlley Alves34 sig landed
HEAD85%29 of 56BODY12%4 of 7LEGS3%1 of 1
Bryan Barberena62 sig landed
HEAD79%49 of 105BODY8%5 of 7LEGS13%8 of 9
34 of 64
Sig.
strikes
62 of 121
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:20
Control
0:53
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 31Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 42Clinch 20Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

The judges’ totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Leon Roberts
Official totals — Warlley Alves first
JudgeTotal
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide28–29
Otto Torriero28–29
Hallison Pontes2.0 avg spread · 40% wide28–29

There is no per-round card for this bout in our decisions source, so the judges’ totals are all we can show. This one is inside the window our source covers — it is a gap in the record, not a scrape we are waiting on, and nothing here is estimated to fill it.

Media cards — 18 scored, Warlley Alves first · unofficial

Dallas Winston BloodyElbow.com27–30
Youngs TheMMACorner.com28–29
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29
Mike Sloan Sherdog.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com28–29
Matthew Wells mmalatestnews.com28–29
Alexandre Matos MMABrasil.com.br28–29
Nick Baldwin BloodyElbow.com28–29
John Pollock Fight Network28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Steven Kelliher Tapology.com28–29
Dana Becker FightLine.com28–29
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com29–28
Chris Nelson Sherdog.com29–28
Severe MMA.com29–28
Chuck Mindenhall MMAFighting.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Barberena · 58%29-28 Alves · 26%30-27 Barberena · 6%30-27 Alves · 2%

53 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Warlley Alves

1.22takedowns / 15 min
1.22 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.13 / 15m
2.44 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.59 / 15m
50%
ACCURACY
22%
0.80 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

Bryan Barberena

0.13takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Warlley Alves↑ +8.4pp
open 73.1%close 81.5%
Bryan Barberena↓ −8.4pp
open 26.9%close 18.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Warlley Alves opened at 73.1% and closed at 81.5% (+8.4pp), with Bryan Barberena moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Warlley Alves-350-55273.1%81.5%+8.4pp
Bryan Barberena25042126.9%18.5%−8.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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