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Events · UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · Corey Anderson vs Tom Lawlor
From the tape · 5 Mar 2016

Corey Anderson vs Tom Lawlor

UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Corey Anderson beat Tom Lawlor

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · John McCarthy

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

CA
Red corner CoreyAnderson“Overtime”The Kennel Fight Club · Rockton, Illinois
VSOn the tape
TL
Blue corner TomLawlor“Filthy”The Jungle MMA & Fitness · Fall River, Massachusetts
Light Heavyweight3 rounds5 Mar 2016
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Averages 2.4 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Lawlor.
  • Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
14-5
Record
10-6
−6 yr26
Age
32
+3″6' 3"
Height
6' 0"
+5″79″
Reach
74″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5
UFC bouts
+510
1/425% of wins
Finishes
+42%4/667% of wins
The Kennel Fight Club
Gym
The Jungle MMA & Fitness
Rockton, Illinois
From
Fall River, Massachusetts
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Corey Anderson22 sig landed
HEAD64%14 of 56BODY9%2 of 5LEGS27%6 of 6
Tom Lawlor18 sig landed
HEAD94%17 of 48BODY0%0 of 1LEGS6%1 of 1
22 of 67
Sig.
strikes
18 of 50
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 22Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 8Ground 0
Judges · this round · Anderson firstAdalaide Byrd10–9Chris Lee10–9Marcos Rosales9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Corey Anderson22 sig landed
HEAD59%13 of 49BODY23%5 of 5LEGS18%4 of 4
Tom Lawlor11 sig landed
HEAD82%9 of 39BODY18%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
22 of 58
Sig.
strikes
11 of 42
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
0:14
Distance 19Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Anderson firstAdalaide Byrd10–9Chris Lee10–9Marcos Rosales10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Corey Anderson11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 22BODY27%3 of 3LEGS18%2 of 3
Tom Lawlor2 sig landed
HEAD100%2 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
11 of 28
Sig.
strikes
2 of 7
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:44
Control
0:00
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Anderson firstAdalaide Byrd10–9Chris Lee10–9Marcos Rosales10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · John McCarthy
Corey AndersonTom Lawlor
Official totals — Corey Anderson first
JudgeTotal
Adalaide Byrd2.0 avg spread · 45% wide30–27
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide30–27
Marcos Rosales2.2 avg spread · 51% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 22 scored, Corey Anderson first · unofficial

MM AMania.com30–27
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com29–28
Luke Thomas MMAFighting.com29–28
Craig Amos BleacherReport.com29–28
Dallas Winston BloodyElbow.com29–28
Chris Nelson Sherdog.com29–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–28
Jordan Breen Sherdog.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
MM ABrasil.com.br29–28
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Patrick Wyman BleacherReport.com29–28
Jim Edwards MMALatestNews.com29–28
John Pollock Fight Network29–28
Adrian MacNair MMAMania.com29–28
Pundit Arena.com28–29
Dana Becker FightLine.com28–29
Marc Raimondi MMAFighting.com28–29
Youngs TheMMACorner.com28–29
Steven Kelliher Tapology.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Dave Meltzer Wrestling Observer28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Lawlor · 66%29-28 Anderson · 25%29-27 Lawlor · 2%30-27 Anderson · 2%

191 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Corey Anderson

4.89takedowns / 15 min
4.89 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.46 / 15m
9.78 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
7.69 / 15m
50%
ACCURACY
32%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.40 / 15m

Tom Lawlor

2.46takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Corey Anderson↑ +3.8pp
open 65.3%close 69.1%
Tom Lawlor↓ −3.8pp
open 34.7%close 30.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Corey Anderson opened at 65.3% and closed at 69.1% (+3.8pp), with Tom Lawlor moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Corey Anderson-230-25265.3%69.1%+3.8pp
Tom Lawlor17021234.7%30.9%−3.8pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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