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Events · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · Miesha Tate vs Rin Nakai
From the tape · 20 Sep 2014

Miesha Tate vs Rin Nakai

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · Saitama, Japan
Result

Miesha Tate beat Rin Nakai

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's BantamweightMain cardReferee · Jerin Valel

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

MT
Red corner MieshaTate“Cupcake”Xtreme Couture · Tacoma, Washington
VSOn the tape
RN
Blue corner RinNakaiShooto Dojo Shikoku · Matsuyama, Ehime
Women's Bantamweight3 rounds20 Sep 2014
The story going in
  • Is 11 points more accurate striking than Nakai.
  • Carries 19 points more takedown defence than Tate.
20-10
Record
19-2-1
28
Age
−1 yr27
+5″5' 6"
Height
5' 1"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Xtreme Couture
Gym
Shooto Dojo Shikoku
Tacoma, Washington
From
Matsuyama, Ehime
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Miesha Tate31 sig landed
HEAD52%16 of 39BODY39%12 of 15LEGS10%3 of 4
Rin Nakai10 sig landed
HEAD50%5 of 18BODY30%3 of 7LEGS20%2 of 2
31 of 58
Sig.
strikes
10 of 27
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 6
0:54
Control
0:26
Distance 17Clinch 14Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 5Ground 0
Judges · this round · Tate firstGreg Kleynjans10–9Paul Sutherland10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Miesha Tate13 sig landed
HEAD85%11 of 29BODY15%2 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
Rin Nakai2 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 4BODY50%1 of 3LEGS50%1 of 1
13 of 34
Sig.
strikes
2 of 8
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 5
1:23
Control
1:11
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Tate firstGreg Kleynjans10–9Paul Sutherland10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Miesha Tate11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 19BODY36%4 of 4LEGS9%1 of 1
Rin Nakai4 sig landed
HEAD50%2 of 6BODY50%2 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
11 of 24
Sig.
strikes
4 of 12
0 of 3
Take-
downs
2 of 8
0:26
Control
2:19
Distance 2Clinch 9Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 3Ground 0
Judges · this round · Tate firstGreg Kleynjans10–9Paul Sutherland10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jerin Valel
Miesha TateRin Nakai
Official totals — Miesha Tate first
JudgeTotal
Greg Kleynjans30–27
Paul Sutherland2.2 avg spread · 52% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 9 scored, Miesha Tate first · unofficial

Trent Dozier LastWordOnSports.com30–27
MM ABrasil.com.br30–27
Jesse Holland MMAMania.com30–27
Jordan Breen Sherdog.com30–27
Mike Fridley Sherdog.com30–27
C. J. Tuttle Sherdog.com30–27
MM AJunkie.com30–27
Severe MMA.com29–28
Adam Martin MMAOddsbreaker.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Tate · 55%29-28 Tate · 31%29-28 Nakai · 3%30-26 Nakai · 3%

29 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Miesha Tate

1.97takedowns / 15 min
1.97 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.00 / 15m
6.57 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
16.67 / 15m
30%
ACCURACY
18%
1.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.50 / 15m

Rin Nakai

3.00takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Miesha Tate↑ +5.1pp
open 68.9%close 74.0%
Rin Nakai↓ −5.1pp
open 31.1%close 26.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Miesha Tate opened at 68.9% and closed at 74.0% (+5.1pp), with Rin Nakai moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Miesha Tate-280-31568.9%74.0%+5.1pp
Rin Nakai20027531.1%26.0%−5.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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