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Events · UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · Chad Mendes vs Clay Guida
From the tape · 31 Aug 2013

Chad Mendes vs Clay Guida

UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA
Result

Chad Mendes beat Clay Guida

Method
KO/TKO
Round
3 of 3
Clock
0:30
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Yves Lavigne

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

CM
Red corner ChadMendes“Money”Team Alpha Male · Hanford, California
VSOn the tape
CG
Blue corner ClayGuida“The Carpenter”Team Alpha Male · Round Lake, Illinois
Featherweight3 rounds31 Aug 2013
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 5 of 10 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 3 of 5 UFC wins.
  • 17 UFC bouts deep — 11 more than Mendes.
18-5
Record
38-22
−3 yr28
Age
31
5' 6"
Height
+1″5' 7"
66″
Reach
+4″70″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6
UFC bouts
+1117
+10%3/560% of wins
Finishes
5/1050% of wins
Team Alpha Male
Gym
Team Alpha Male
Hanford, California
From
Round Lake, Illinois
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Chad Mendes9 sig landed
HEAD78%7 of 26BODY11%1 of 2LEGS11%1 of 1
Clay Guida5 sig landed
HEAD100%5 of 39BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 of 3
9 of 29
Sig.
strikes
5 of 42
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
1:13
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Chad Mendes13 sig landed
HEAD54%7 of 18BODY23%3 of 3LEGS23%3 of 3
Clay Guida9 sig landed
HEAD44%4 of 43BODY11%1 of 1LEGS44%4 of 4
13 of 24
Sig.
strikes
9 of 48
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 2
1:35
Control
0:05
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 7Clinch 2Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 30:30 of action⚡ 1 KD MendesEnded 0:30
Chad Mendes10 sig landed
HEAD100%10 of 13BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Clay Guida3 sig landed
HEAD67%2 of 8BODY0%0 landedLEGS33%1 of 1
10 of 13
Sig.
strikes
3 of 9
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:19
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 2Ground 6
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Chad Mendes

Round
3
Clock
0:30
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Yves Lavigne.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Chad Mendes

4.13takedowns / 15 min
4.13 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.10 / 15m
7.51 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
8.86 / 15m
55%
ACCURACY
35%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Clay Guida

3.10takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Chad Mendes↑ +7.6pp
open 73.1%close 80.7%
Clay Guida↓ −7.6pp
open 26.9%close 19.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Chad Mendes opened at 73.1% and closed at 80.7% (+7.6pp), with Clay Guida moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Chad Mendes-350-50073.1%80.7%+7.6pp
Clay Guida25040326.9%19.3%−7.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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