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Events · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · Mac Danzig vs Melvin Guillard
From the tape · 27 Jul 2013

Mac Danzig vs Melvin Guillard

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · Seattle, Washington, USA
Result

Melvin Guillard beat Mac Danzig

Method
KO/TKO
Round
2 of 3
Clock
2:47
LightweightMain cardReferee · Steve Newport

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

MD
Red corner MacDanzigDanzig MMA · Los Angeles, California
VSOn the tape
MG
Blue corner MelvinGuillard“The Young Assassin”Genesis Training Cente · New Orleans, Louisiana
Lightweight3 rounds27 Jul 2013
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 5 UFC wins.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Is 8 points more accurate striking than Guillard.
  • Has finished 7 of 11 UFC wins.
21-12-1
Record
32-18-2
33
Age
−3 yr30
5' 8"
Height
+1″5' 9"
70″
Reach
+1″71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11
UFC bouts
+819
3/560% of wins
Finishes
+4%7/1164% of wins
Danzig MMA
Gym
Genesis Training Cente
Los Angeles, California
From
New Orleans, Louisiana
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Mac Danzig13 sig landed
HEAD23%3 of 23BODY23%3 of 3LEGS54%7 of 7
Melvin Guillard23 sig landed
HEAD61%14 of 46BODY22%5 of 6LEGS17%4 of 4
13 of 33
Sig.
strikes
23 of 56
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:30
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 12Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 3Ground 0
Round 22:47 of action⚡ 1 KD GuillardEnded 2:47
Mac Danzig10 sig landed
HEAD50%5 of 16BODY10%1 of 2LEGS40%4 of 5
Melvin Guillard16 sig landed
HEAD81%13 of 29BODY19%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
10 of 23
Sig.
strikes
16 of 32
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:08
Control
0:10
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 6

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Melvin Guillard

Round
2
Clock
2:47
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Steve Newport.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Mac Danzig

1.20takedowns / 15 min
1.20 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.30 / 15m
3.24 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.06 / 15m
37%
ACCURACY
63%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Melvin Guillard

1.30takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Mac Danzig↓ −5.8pp
open 46.2%close 40.4%
Melvin Guillard↑ +5.8pp
open 53.8%close 59.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Mac Danzig opened at 46.2% and closed at 40.4% (−5.8pp), with Melvin Guillard moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Mac Danzig10014046.2%40.4%−5.8pp
Melvin Guillard-140-16053.8%59.6%+5.8pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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