Round 1
29 of 55
Sig.
strikes
strikes
38 of 80
0 of 1
Take-
downs
downs
2 of 4
0:19
Control
0:58
Distance 25Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 31Clinch 7Ground 0
Judges · this round · Watson firstHoward Hughes9–10
From the tape · 29 Sep 2012
Tom Watson vs Brad Tavares
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · Nottingham, England, United Kingdom
Result
Brad Tavares beat Tom Watson
MiddleweightMain cardReferee · Leon Roberts
We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.
TW
VSOn the tape
17-9
Record
21-13
30
Age
−6 yr24
6' 1"
Height
6' 1"
73″
Reach
+1″74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Southampton
From
Kailua, Hawaii
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.
UFCStats · per round
3 rounds of tape
Round 2
20 of 38
Sig.
strikes
strikes
23 of 58
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
1 of 2
0:01
Control
2:09
Distance 18Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 21Clinch 1Ground 1
Judges · this round · Watson firstHoward Hughes9–10
Round 3Ended 5:00
16 of 34
Sig.
strikes
strikes
22 of 35
0 of 1
Take-
downs
downs
2 of 6
0:47
Control
2:18
Distance 9Clinch 5Ground 2
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 19Clinch 3Ground 0
Judges · this round · Watson firstHoward Hughes9–10
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
The cards, totalled
The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.
Official card
Split Decision
Referee · Leon Roberts
Tom WatsonBrad Tavares
| Judge | Total |
|---|---|
| Howard Hughes2.0 avg spread · 43% wide | 27–30 |
Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.
Media cards — 8 scored, Tom Watson first · unofficial
Adam Martin TheScore.com27–30
MM AJunkie.com27–30
MM AWeekly.com27–30
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com27–30
Chris Nelson Sherdog.com27–30
Mike Whitman Sherdog.com27–30
Shaun Al- Shatti MMAFighting.com27–30
Matthew Roth BleacherReport.com27–30
Fan vote · unofficial
30-27 Tavares · 54%29-28 Tavares · 27%29-28 Watson · 18%
11 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.
Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Tom Watson
0.15 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.70 / 15m
2.14 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.69 / 15m
7%
ACCURACY
26%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m
43%
TD DEFENCE
80%
Brad Tavares
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Middleweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Tom Watson↓ −1.0pp
open 40.1%close 39.1%
Brad Tavares↑ +1.0pp
open 59.9%close 60.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Tom Watson opened at 40.1% and closed at 39.1% (−1.0pp), with Brad Tavares moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Watson | 135 | 150 | 40.1% | 39.1% | −1.0pp |
| Brad Tavares | -175 | -165 | 59.9% | 60.9% | +1.0pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.