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Events · UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · Anthony Johnson vs Dan Hardy
From the tape · 26 Mar 2011

Anthony Johnson vs Dan Hardy

UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · Seattle, Washington, USA
Result

Anthony Johnson beat Dan Hardy

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
WelterweightCo-MainReferee · Josh Rosenthal

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

AJ
Red corner AnthonyJohnson“Rumble”Kill Cliff FC · Boca Raton, Florida
VSOn the tape
DH
Blue corner DanHardy“The Outlaw”Team Rough House · Nottingham, East Midlands
Welterweight3 rounds26 Mar 2011
The story going in
  • Every one of Johnson’s 5 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 42 points more takedown defence than Hardy.
22-6
Record
25-10
−1 yr27
Age
28
+2″6' 2"
Height
6' 0"
+4″78″
Reach
74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+28
UFC bouts
6
+75%5/5100% of wins
Finishes
1/425% of wins
Kill Cliff FC
Gym
Team Rough House
Boca Raton, Florida
From
Nottingham, East Midlands
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Johnson1 sub attempt
Anthony Johnson10 sig landed
HEAD90%9 of 17BODY0%0 landedLEGS10%1 of 2
Dan Hardy1 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 3BODY100%1 of 2LEGS0%0 of 1
10 of 19
Sig.
strikes
1 of 6
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
3:58
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 7
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 25:00 of action1 sub attempt
Anthony Johnson3 sig landed
HEAD100%3 of 8BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Dan Hardy1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 6BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
3 of 8
Sig.
strikes
1 of 6
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
4:10
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 1Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 35:00 of action3 sub attemptsEnded 5:00
Anthony Johnson7 sig landed
HEAD71%5 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS29%2 of 2
Dan Hardy0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 1BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 1 thrown

7 of 9
Sig.
strikes
0 of 1
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
4:37
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
2
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 0Clinch 4Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

The judges’ totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Unanimous

Referee · Josh Rosenthal
Official totals — Anthony Johnson first
JudgeTotal
Lester Griffin2.0 avg spread · 47% wide30–27
Dave Hagen2.0 avg spread · 45% wide30–27
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide30–27

There is no per-round card for this bout in our decisions source, so the judges’ totals are all we can show. This one is inside the window our source covers — it is a gap in the record, not a scrape we are waiting on, and nothing here is estimated to fill it.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Anthony Johnson

2.43takedowns / 15 min
2.43 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.73 / 15m
4.26 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.09 / 15m
57%
ACCURACY
35%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.40 / 15m

Dan Hardy

0.73takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Anthony Johnson↓ −1.3pp
open 63.8%close 62.5%
Dan Hardy↑ +1.3pp
open 36.2%close 37.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Anthony Johnson opened at 63.8% and closed at 62.5% (−1.3pp), with Dan Hardy moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Anthony Johnson-210-17363.8%62.5%−1.3pp
Dan Hardy16016336.2%37.5%+1.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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