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Events · UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · Brock Lesnar vs Shane Carwin
From the tape · 3 Jul 2010

Brock Lesnar vs Shane Carwin

UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Brock Lesnar beat Shane Carwin

Method
Submission
Round
2 of 5
Clock
2:19
Heavyweight TitleTitle fightMainReferee · Josh Rosenthal

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

BL
Red corner BrockLesnarTeam Death Clutch · Webster, South Dakota
VSOn the tape
SC
Blue corner ShaneCarwin“The Engineer”Grudge Training Center · Greeley, Colorado
Heavyweight Title5 rounds3 Jul 2010
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
  • Every one of Carwin’s 4 UFC wins came inside the distance.
5-3
Record
12-2
−3 yr32
Age
35
+1″6' 3"
Height
6' 2"
+1″81″
Reach
80″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4
UFC bouts
4
2/367% of wins
Finishes
+33%4/4100% of wins
Team Death Clutch
Gym
Grudge Training Center
Webster, South Dakota
From
Greeley, Colorado
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Carwin
Brock Lesnar3 sig landed
HEAD33%1 of 6BODY33%1 of 1LEGS33%1 of 1
Shane Carwin40 sig landed
HEAD98%39 of 78BODY2%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
3 of 8
Sig.
strikes
40 of 79
0 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:04
Control
2:44
0
Knock-
downs
1
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 6Ground 31
Round 22:19 of action1 sub attemptEnded 2:19
Brock Lesnar5 sig landed
HEAD20%1 of 3BODY80%4 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Shane Carwin0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 6BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 6 thrown

5 of 7
Sig.
strikes
0 of 6
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:29
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 5
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Brock Lesnar

Round
2
Clock
2:19
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Josh Rosenthal.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Brock Lesnar

3.90takedowns / 15 min
3.90 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.42 / 15m
7.09 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.30 / 15m
55%
ACCURACY
33%
0.50 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Shane Carwin

1.42takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.77 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Brock Lesnar↓ −7.4pp
open 65.6%close 58.2%
Shane Carwin↑ +7.4pp
open 34.4%close 41.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Brock Lesnar opened at 65.6% and closed at 58.2% (−7.4pp), with Shane Carwin moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Brock Lesnar-225-14565.6%58.2%−7.4pp
Shane Carwin17513534.4%41.8%+7.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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