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Events · UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · Nate Diaz vs Rory Markham
From the tape · 27 Mar 2010

Nate Diaz vs Rory Markham

UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · Newark, New Jersey, USA
Result

Nate Diaz beat Rory Markham

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
2:47
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Keith Peterson

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

ND
Red corner NateDiazCesar Gracie Fight Team · Stockton, California
VSOn the tape
RM
Blue corner RoryMarkhamMiletich Martial Arts · Bettendorf, Iowa
Welterweight3 rounds27 Mar 2010
The story going in
  • Has finished 5 of 6 UFC wins.
  • 9 UFC bouts deep — 7 more than Markham.
22-13
Record
17-6
−4 yr24
Age
28
6' 0"
Height
6' 0"
+5″76″
Reach
71″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+79
UFC bouts
2
5/683% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Cesar Gracie Fight Team
Gym
Miletich Martial Arts
Stockton, California
From
Bettendorf, Iowa
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 12:47 of action⚡ 1 KD DiazEnded 2:47
Nate Diaz34 sig landed
HEAD79%27 of 53BODY6%2 of 2LEGS15%5 of 5
Rory Markham3 sig landed
HEAD33%1 of 19BODY33%1 of 2LEGS33%1 of 1
34 of 60
Sig.
strikes
3 of 22
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:15
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 14Clinch 2Ground 18
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 2Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Nate Diaz

Round
1
Clock
2:47
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Keith Peterson.

Takedowns

Takedowns

Nate Diaz

The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.

1.05takedowns / 15 min
FightIQ read Takedowns in the mix 1.05 landed per 15 minutes — −0.94 on the field average — a real part of the arsenal, not the whole of it.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS33
1.05 / 15m−0.94 vs field
ATTEMPTS41
3.50 / 15m−1.44 vs field
ACCURACY26
30%−16pp vs field
SUB ATT69
1.30 / 15m−0.02 vs field

Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Ranked in Welterweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Nate Diaz↓ −2.4pp
open 69.8%close 67.4%
Rory Markham↑ +2.4pp
open 30.2%close 32.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Nate Diaz opened at 69.8% and closed at 67.4% (−2.4pp), with Rory Markham moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Nate Diaz-275-23569.8%67.4%−2.4pp
Rory Markham21519530.2%32.6%+2.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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