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Events · UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · Aaron Simpson vs Ed Herman
From the tape · 29 Aug 2009

Aaron Simpson vs Ed Herman

UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · Portland, Oregon, USA
Result

Aaron Simpson beat Ed Herman

Method
KO/TKO
Round
2 of 3
Clock
0:17
MiddleweightMain cardReferee · Yves Lavigne

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

AS
Red corner AaronSimpson“A-Train”Power MMA Team · Phoenix, Arizona
VSOn the tape
EH
Blue corner EdHerman“Short Fuse”American Top Team Portland · Portland, Oregon
Middleweight3 rounds29 Aug 2009
The story going in
  • Carries 24 points more takedown defence than Herman.
  • Has finished 3 of 4 UFC wins.
  • 8 UFC bouts deep — 7 more than Simpson.
12-5
Record
27-16
35
Age
−7 yr28
6' 0"
Height
+1″6' 1"
73″
Reach
+4″77″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
+78
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
3/475% of wins
Power MMA Team
Gym
American Top Team Portland
Phoenix, Arizona
From
Portland, Oregon
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Simpson
Aaron Simpson25 sig landed
HEAD84%21 of 44BODY8%2 of 3LEGS8%2 of 2
Ed Herman7 sig landed
HEAD71%5 of 28BODY29%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
25 of 49
Sig.
strikes
7 of 30
2 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
3:04
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 8Clinch 3Ground 14
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 3Ground 1
Round 20:17 of actionEnded 0:17
Aaron Simpson0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 1BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 1 thrown

Ed Herman0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 1BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed — 2 thrown

0 of 1
Sig.
strikes
0 of 2
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:01
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Aaron Simpson

Round
2
Clock
0:17
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Yves Lavigne.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Aaron Simpson

3.78takedowns / 15 min
3.78 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.96 / 15m
11.12 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.17 / 15m
34%
ACCURACY
47%
0.50 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.00 / 15m

Ed Herman

1.96takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Aaron Simpson↑ +9.7pp
open 41.4%close 51.1%
Ed Herman↓ −9.7pp
open 58.6%close 48.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Aaron Simpson opened at 41.4% and closed at 51.1% (+9.7pp), with Ed Herman moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Aaron Simpson130-11541.4%51.1%+9.7pp
Ed Herman-160-10558.6%48.9%−9.7pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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