This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
Events · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · Mac Danzig vs Tommy Speer
From the tape · 8 Dec 2007

Mac Danzig vs Tommy Speer

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Mac Danzig beat Tommy Speer

Method
Submission
Round
1 of 3
Clock
2:01
Ultimate Fighter 6 Welterweight Tournament TitleCo-MainReferee · Yves Lavigne

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

MD
Red corner MacDanzigDanzig MMA · Los Angeles, California
VSOn the tape
TS
Blue corner TommySpeer
Ultimate Fighter 6 Welterweight Tournament Title3 rounds8 Dec 2007
21-12-1
Record
21-7
27
Age
−4 yr23
5' 8"
Height
+2″5' 10"
70″
Reach
+1″71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 12:01 of action1 sub attemptEnded 2:01
Mac Danzig10 sig landed
HEAD50%5 of 8BODY50%5 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
Tommy Speer4 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 2BODY50%2 of 3LEGS50%2 of 2
10 of 14
Sig.
strikes
4 of 7
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:14
Control
0:28
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 5Ground 5
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 4Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Mac Danzig

Round
1
Clock
2:01
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Yves Lavigne.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Mac Danzig

1.20takedowns / 15 min
1.20 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.02 / 15m
3.24 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
6.12 / 15m
37%
ACCURACY
33%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Tommy Speer

2.02takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Mac Danzig→ no move
open 58.8%close 58.8%
Tommy Speer→ no move
open 41.2%close 41.2%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

The line barely moved. Mac Danzig opened at 58.8% and closed at 58.8% once the vig is taken out — a 0.0pp shift across the whole build-up. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Mac Danzig-155-15558.8%58.8%−0.0pp
Tommy Speer13513541.2%41.2%−0.0pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Every fighter on the record