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Events · UFC 77: Hostile Territory · Alan Belcher vs Kalib Starnes
From the tape · 20 Oct 2007

Alan Belcher vs Kalib Starnes

UFC 77: Hostile Territory · Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
Result

Alan Belcher beat Kalib Starnes

Method
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Round
2 of 3
Clock
1:39
MiddleweightMain cardReferee · Yves Lavigne

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

AB
Red corner AlanBelcher“The Talent”Biloxi, Mississippi
VSOn the tape
KS
Blue corner KalibStarnesAegis Athletics · Surrey, British Columbia
Middleweight3 rounds20 Oct 2007
The story going in
  • Carries 30 points more takedown defence than Starnes.
  • Averages 1.0 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Belcher.
18-8
Record
17-11-1
−9 yr23
Age
32
6' 2"
Height
+1″6' 3"
+1″75″
Reach
74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+14
UFC bouts
3
2/2100% of wins
Finishes
1/250% of wins
Biloxi, Mississippi
From
Surrey, British Columbia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Alan Belcher38 sig landed
HEAD63%24 of 49BODY16%6 of 6LEGS21%8 of 8
Kalib Starnes26 sig landed
HEAD81%21 of 52BODY15%4 of 6LEGS4%1 of 1
38 of 63
Sig.
strikes
26 of 59
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:51
Control
0:25
Distance 19Clinch 19Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 10Ground 0
Round 21:39 of actionEnded 1:39
Alan Belcher19 sig landed
HEAD68%13 of 28BODY11%2 of 5LEGS21%4 of 4
Kalib Starnes14 sig landed
HEAD93%13 of 27BODY7%1 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
19 of 37
Sig.
strikes
14 of 30
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:02
Distance 15Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 1Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Alan Belcher

Round
2
Clock
1:39
Method
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Yves Lavigne.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Alan Belcher

0.44takedowns / 15 min
0.44 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.46 / 15m
1.69 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.42 / 15m
26%
ACCURACY
33%
0.90 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Kalib Starnes

1.46takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Alan Belcher→ no move
open 46.2%close 45.7%
Kalib Starnes→ no move
open 53.8%close 54.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

The line barely moved. Alan Belcher opened at 46.2% and closed at 45.7% once the vig is taken out — a 0.4pp shift across the whole build-up. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Alan Belcher10011046.2%45.7%−0.4pp
Kalib Starnes-140-13053.8%54.3%+0.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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